Nobel Prize-winning economist, William Sharpe (the joint-father of modern investing and the person after whom the Sharpe Ratio is named), calls Retirement Planning and investing for it, “the nastiest, hardest problem in finance”.
If the above statement sounds like an exaggeration, it’s probably because high-quality Financial Planning is almost non-existent in developing countries such as India. A financially realistic illustration would help to illustrate one minor aspect of the above statement:
Let’s say that Achilles, who is 40 years old, has already saved enough for his children’s higher education and he is now going to start saving for retirement. He and his adviser calculate that he has to save 40% of his post-tax salary for retirement, which leaves him with 60% to spend on a comfortable lifestyle.
Achilles eventually retires at the age of 60. If at that point he realizes that the earlier calculation was overly optimistic and corrects it, then he will have to cut down his lifestyle by 56%. However, if he unfortunately realizes this only at the age of 70, then at that point, he will have to cut down his lifestyle by 83%. In the extreme scenario in which he realizes this only at the age of 73, then he would have completely run out of money and hence he would be on his deathbed—unless his children bail him out.
The above illustration hints at the fact that, within Financial Planning, the component of Retirement Planning is the most complex. And since Retirement Planning and investing for it is the hardest problem in finance, it would therefore be prudent for almost everyone to partner with a competent Fee-Only (Advice-Only) Financial Planner and SEBI registered Investment Adviser.
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- Avinash Luthria, Fee-Only (Advice-Only) Financial Planner & SEBI registered Investment Adviser
- Investor with 21 years of experience including 12 years as a Private Equity / Venture Capital investor
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